TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Utah State and Boise State. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific numerical values by the end of the first half.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Utah St. vs Boise St. college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 41.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 1st half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, effectively creating a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Utah St. vs Boise St. game will determine the winning contract. Specifically, the total points scored by both teams in the first half will be compared to the market’s ranges to identify the correct outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Utah St. or Boise St. would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi and cause the price to fluctuate as they adjust their predictions.