TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Romanian Superliga between Uta Arad and CFR Cluj. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the game will end in a tie.
If Uta Arad wins the Uta Arad vs CFR Cluj professional Romanian Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If CFR Cluj wins the Uta Arad vs CFR Cluj professional Romanian Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Uta Arad vs CFR Cluj professional Romanian Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for this event. While analysts often provide pre-match predictions based on team form and statistics, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders responding to new information and changing perceptions. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates outcomes differently than experts, potentially indicating undervalued or overvalued probabilities. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are static, while this market continuously updates.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This creates a dynamic pricing environment that aims to accurately represent the likelihood of each possible result in the Romanian Liga I market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the Romanian Liga I. Any adjustments or corrections to the official result will be reflected in the final settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches to understand the factors that will determine the final outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Key factors include any injuries to star players on either team, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected shifts in team form. News regarding weather conditions, referee assignments, or even significant off-field events could also influence trading activity. Additionally, any major upsets in other Liga I matches could impact perceptions of team strength and affect the probabilities reflected in this market.