TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. California Baptist Lancers
Volume:
$13,838
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UT Arlington Mavericks and California Baptist Lancers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, over/under totals at multiple thresholds, spread betting, and first-half outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope divergence between full-game outcomes (Polymarket) and first-half outcomes (Kalshi). Kalshi first-half market contains a logical tautology in its resolution description that requires platform clarification.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable based on final game score. Kalshi's first-half market logic is ambiguous—verify with Kalshi whether it resolves to Yes for any first-half outcome or whether the description should enumerate mutually exclusive Yes/No branches. Treat the two platforms as independent event spaces until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five markets covering full-game moneyline, two over/under totals (133.5 and 134.5 thresholds), and spread (-6.5 California Baptist). All resolve on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Logic is clear and internally consistent.
- Kalshi: First-half outcome market with three stated conditions: Tie in first half resolves Yes, California Baptist wins first half resolves Yes, UT Arlington wins first half resolves Yes. This creates a logical tautology—all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Market description requires clarification on whether this is a Yes/No on first-half completion or a categorical selector.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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