TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point spreads for the first half of a college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the USC vs Wisconsin college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that margin by more than the stated points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting adjusted expectations based on available information and circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's disagreement between the public and the sportsbook. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often serve as a useful benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half spread of the USC vs Wisconsin football game, as determined by official game statistics. The final spread will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the USC or Wisconsin teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations.