TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming college football matchup. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match the specified conditions for resolution. The events consider various possible scenarios, including wins by either team or a tied first half, combined with different full-game results.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the USC vs Wisconsin college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the game, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the USC vs Wisconsin game, specifically the first-half winner and the overall game winner as determined by the official game statistics. No further details about the resolution process are available at this time. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either USC or Wisconsin would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or even significant betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to price movements on Kalshi. Public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the game can also play a role.