TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Wisconsin will win its college football game against USC. Currently, the probability of Wisconsin winning on Kalshi is 89.0%, while USC winning is at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the USC vs Wisconsin college football game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Wisconsin wins the contest scheduled for October 23, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes for the winning team if they win the game on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Bookmakers may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations, whereas this market focuses on predicting the actual result of the USC vs Wisconsin game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources and analytical approaches, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for Wisconsin wins, for example, the price will increase, indicating a higher perceived chance of that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow determine the price movements, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the USC vs Wisconsin game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the USC vs Wisconsin game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and any potential challenges to the reported outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or conditions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large bets placed by informed traders, or changes in public sentiment reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could lead to noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the USC vs Wisconsin game.