TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for USC vs. Penn State.
Exact margin markets for USC vs. Penn State.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell contracts representing different exact score margins. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, indicating the market's collective belief about the probability of that margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants in the USC-Penn State margin market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, exact margin of victory in the USC versus Penn State game will be used to determine which contract pays out. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading in this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries for either USC or Penn State would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any major announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment and move the prices of contracts representing different exact margins. Public polling data and expert analysis could also play a role.