TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or even early sportsbook lines, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and adjust their positions based on new information. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and risk appetite between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic system to ensure fair price discovery, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions. This creates a constantly updating forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the USC vs. Penn State game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the completion of the game and verification of the outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries on either the USC or Penn State teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even significant media coverage could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning has the potential to create trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market.