TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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USC vs. Penn State
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of USC vs. Penn State?

Volume:
$831,912

USC vs. Penn State

 - Polymarket

USC vs. Penn State - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

USC vs. Penn State

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$542,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 30.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,193
N/A
N/A
$13,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 27.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,043
N/A
N/A
$13,074
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,204
N/A
N/A
$1,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,024
N/A
N/A
$1,822
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 19.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,344
N/A
N/A
$1,242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
$1,060
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$715
Settled
Yes
polymarket

USC 1H O/U 13.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q O/U 13.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

USC O/U 23.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 227

Intro

This market tracks the total rushing yards for USC in their game against Penn State, as determined by official NCAA statistics. Currently, the consensus probability that USC’s total rushing yards will be over/under 125.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution sourced from https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will remain open until the game is completed, with resolution expected by 2026-10-10, the estimated end date of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in scope, with Polymarket covering the full game and Kalshi focusing on first-half scoring. Resolution timing is consistent (postponement holds open, cancellation resolves 50-50), but the events being predicted are different.Hero tip: Focus on the specific market you are trading. Polymarket offers more comprehensive game-level predictions, while Kalshi is geared towards first-half scoring outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a wide range of markets covering the entire game, including game outcome, point spreads, over/under totals, and team/player statistics. Resolution is based on official game results, with a 50-50 resolution for cancellations.
  • Kalshi: Primarily focuses on first-half scoring totals, with markets resolving based on the total points scored in the first half. Shares the same postponement/cancellation resolution rule as Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the first half of the USC vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 41.5 points); if the combined first-half score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points from the first half count, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions for the USC vs. Penn State game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these venues is $831,912, with $781,542 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the potential outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market, enabling users to compare odds and track shifts in sentiment leading up to the event. This is a great way to see how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the USC vs. Penn State game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Prediction markets also tend to incorporate information more quickly as new data emerges, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities over time.