TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether USC will win its college football game against Penn State. Currently, Kalshi gives USC a 56.0% probability of winning, while Penn State is at 44.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the USC vs Penn State game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Penn State wins the contest scheduled to conclude by October 11, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the game as scheduled on October 10, 2026. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the official final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts currently favor Penn State, but this market provides a different perspective based on actual money being wagered on the outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result—which team wins the USC vs Penn State football game—will be determined by the official game results. The platform will then verify the outcome against trusted sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift the odds. News regarding team morale, practice performance, or any controversies surrounding the teams could also influence trading activity. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market reflects actual money at risk rather than opinions.