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$154.1b

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$172,394,893

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404,136

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USA vs Canada
kalshi

What is the result of USA vs Canada?

Volume:
$4,100,649

USA

 - Kalshi

USA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 10:04 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,547,152
N/A
N/A
$1,592,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canada

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$984,956
N/A
N/A
$656,269
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$568,542
N/A
N/A
$416,474
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the USA will win its upcoming international friendly soccer match against Canada. Currently, Kalshi gives a 96.0% probability to USA winning, as defined by victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves based on the outcome of the USA vs Canada professional Intl Friendlies soccer game, with resolution information available from the game result itself. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled to conclude by October 7, 2026, as that will determine the final outcome and market settlement.

Kalshi

This event involves three potential results from an international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, between the USA and Canada. Resolution depends exclusively on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, disregarding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies if either the USA wins, Canada wins, or the game ends in a tie within regulation time. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours of the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The event includes a clear disclaimer stating no official connection with the governing league or its intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the USA vs Canada match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $4,100,649, with $3,890,960 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the game, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional polling data.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as this market quickly incorporates new data and perspectives.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the USA vs Canada match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.

Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 7, 2026. Any major news regarding team rosters, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching staff could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other related matches or tournaments might also influence trader sentiment. Even broader factors, like weather conditions or public opinion shifts, could play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.