TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, US Sassuolo Calcio or SS Lazio, will win the second half of a Serie A soccer match, or if the second half will end in a draw. Resolution is based on goals scored in the second half, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than US Sassuolo Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio score more goals than SS Lazio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio score more goals than US Sassuolo Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing wagers, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from a wider range of informed opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, though neither is guaranteed to be correct.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Sassuolo vs Lazio second half may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume can also play a role; a market with higher volume on one platform may have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific question phrasing and available outcomes on each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a Sassuolo win at an implied probability, while Predict leans toward a draw. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when evaluating potential outcomes.