TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored in the second half of the Serie A match between US Sassuolo Calcio and SS Lazio. Currently, the consensus probability is 100.0% according to an aggregation of Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on the official final score published on legaseriea.it. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the full-time result on October 27, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for these markets.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 27 at 1:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining both sources allows for a more informed understanding of the probabilities surrounding the Sassuolo vs Lazio match.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, influencing how prices are formed. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary significantly, leading to price discrepancies. For example, if there's a large influx of traders on Polymarket betting on a particular outcome, the price there will adjust accordingly, potentially diverging from Predict where trading volume is lower. These differences highlight the independent nature of these prediction markets.