TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.2b

24H VOL:

$217,900,088

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,256,149,940

499,530

Markets across

13,705

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,785

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
polymarket
kalshi
Trending

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio

Volume:
$1,821,925
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

US Sassuolo Calcio will face Cagliari Calcio in a Serie A match scheduled for April 4, 2026. This event group covers three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Sassuolo victory, a Cagliari victory, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 4, 2026, using the same primary source (official governing body statistics) and identical scope.

Primary resolution logic:

Official statistics from Lega Serie A (Italian professional soccer governing body) or credible consensus reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
  • Polymarket's three binary markets (Sassuolo win, Cagliari win, draw) and Kalshi's three outcome markets (Sassuolo win, Cagliari win, tie) cover all mutually exclusive possibilities.
  • Exactly ONE market in each platform will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's Sassuolo and Cagliari win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi's markets resolve YES only if the cancellation outcome matches the market condition (all three resolve YES under cancellation).

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the April 4, 2026 match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match outcome.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves the Sassuolo win and Cagliari win markets to NO and the draw market to YES. Kalshi's resolution rules state all three markets resolve YES if any outcome occurs, creating a technical ambiguity; however, the intent aligns with treating cancellation as a draw-equivalent for settlement purposes.
  • Official Source Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets).

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Lega Serie A within 2 hours of match conclusion, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed. Markets remain open if the match is postponed and resolve only after the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.