TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and AC Milan, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Sassuolo Calcio and AC Milan, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets harness the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating information from a diverse range of participants. Sportsbooks, while employing skilled oddsmakers, are still susceptible to biases and limitations in their models. However, initial odds for this market may differ from sportsbooks as they reflect different information and risk assessments. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds reflect the most up-to-date information and predictions available. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the ongoing trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Sassuolo vs. Milan match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the exact final score of the game, including any extra time, but excluding penalty shootouts. Any disputes will be assessed against publicly available data from official sources to ensure an accurate and fair outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sassuolo or Milan would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or unexpected changes in team form leading up to the match, could also impact trading activity. Major weather forecasts for the match day could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps fueled by expert analysis or media coverage, could move this market as traders adjust their predictions.