TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:43 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:30 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds are dynamic and can shift rapidly based on new information and trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook lines over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and isn’t influenced by external factors or pre-defined probabilities. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Italian soccer match between US Sambenedettese and US Livorno 1915. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the final score and declare a winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or even social media buzz surrounding the teams could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential shifts in the market’s outlook.