TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Lecce and US Cremonese scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria and source methodology.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical match outcome criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Lega Serie A), with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics (https://www.legaseriea.it/); secondary source is credible consensus reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Lecce win, Cremonese win, or draw
- Official Lega Serie A statistics are the primary resolution authority
- If official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible consensus reporting may be used
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and resolved normally
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket Cremonese win market resolves No; Polymarket Lecce win market resolves No. Kalshi treats cancellation as a match occurrence and all three outcomes resolve Yes (logical inconsistency in Kalshi design, but does not affect normal match scenarios)
- Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source
Timing:
Resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 8, 2026, with final settlement within 2 hours of match conclusion or upon availability of official Lega Serie A statisticsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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