TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between US Lecce and Bologna FC 1909. The market considers a draw as a possible outcome if both teams score the same number of goals in the second half. Resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Lecce and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Lecce and Bologna FC 1909 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than US Lecce in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between US Lecce and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if US Lecce and Bologna FC 1909 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than US Lecce in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for the Lecce vs Bologna second half on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and information sets. Polymarket might have more experienced traders specializing in soccer, while Predict could have a broader range of participants. Furthermore, trading volume and liquidity can influence price discovery; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. These differences in user behavior and market dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies.