Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets (Polymarket draw, Polymarket Torino win, Polymarket Cremonese win, and Kalshi outcomes) resolve based on the identical match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with consistent postponement and cancellation rules across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie A (Italian Serie A governing body) as recognized by the event organizers, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Cremonese win, Torino win, or draw.
Polymarket draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Torino win market resolves YES if Torino wins, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Cremonese win market resolves YES if Cremonese wins, NO otherwise.
Kalshi market resolves YES for any of the three outcomes (Torino win, draw, or Cremonese win).
All resolution determinations are based solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw resolves YES and Polymarket win markets resolve NO; Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (as the match outcome is indeterminate).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for April 19, 2026 is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw resolves YES, Polymarket win markets resolve NO, and Kalshi resolves YES (indeterminate outcome).
Resolution Source Timing: Official Lega Serie A statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Lega Serie A within 2 hours of match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.