TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan
Volume:
$982,089
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between US Cremonese (home) and AC Milan scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Cremonese win, draw, and Milan win, with additional Kalshi markets on margin thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals). All resolution windows are capped at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation rule (resolves YES) that contradicts its win/loss markets (resolve NO) and Kalshi's margin markets (silent on cancellation). Timing and postponement handling also differ slightly in clarity.Hero Tip:
Lock in your position before March 1, 2026. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while win/loss resolve NO. Kalshi margin markets may require manual intervention or platform discretion. Verify game status via Lega Serie A official channels daily in late February 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Cremonese Win (YES if Cremonese wins, NO otherwise or if canceled), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Milan Win (YES if Milan wins, NO otherwise or if canceled). Postponement keeps all markets open. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw only).
- Kalshi: Four margin-based markets: Cremonese >1.5 goals (YES if Cremonese wins by >1.5), Cremonese >2.5 goals (YES if Cremonese wins by >2.5), Milan >1.5 goals (YES if Milan wins by >1.5), Milan >2.5 goals (YES if Milan wins by >2.5). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Quote: Markets specify outcome conditions but omit edge-case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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