TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Mantova 1911
Volume:
$52,822
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie B professional soccer match between US Catanzaro 1929 and Mantova 1911 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Catanzaro win, Mantova win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's three markets contain internal logical inconsistency in their cancellation clauses: the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while both win markets resolve No on cancellation. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating cross-platform ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Treat cancellation as a low-probability tail risk. If the match is postponed with a rescheduled makeup date, both platforms remain open. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket's draw market becomes a Yes while its win markets become No—a logical impossibility for a single match outcome. Kalshi's resolution path is unclear. Recommend monitoring official Serie B communications and contacting platform support for clarification before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering Catanzaro win, Mantova win, and draw. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation clause differs by market: draw resolves Yes on cancellation; both win markets resolve No on cancellation. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [Yes/No depending on market].'
- Kalshi: Three markets structured as 'If [outcome] wins the match, then resolve to Yes.' All three outcomes resolve to Yes if the match is played and that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all three markets would resolve No if the match does not occur, but this is not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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