TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between US Catanzaro 1929 and Calcio Padova, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Catanzaro 1929" if US Catanzaro 1929 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Calcio Padova" if Calcio Padova are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between US Catanzaro 1929 and Calcio Padova, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "US Catanzaro 1929" if US Catanzaro 1929 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Calcio Padova" if Calcio Padova are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, or even outperforming, traditional sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can emerge due to differences in market participants, information access, and risk appetite. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow for more direct peer-to-peer betting. It’s common to see this market’s probabilities shift as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines before converging closer to the actual event outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either US Catanzaro 1929 or Calcio Padova scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate based on trading activity and new information, providing a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the US Catanzaro 1929 versus Calcio Padova match will determine the winning outcome. If no goal is scored in regulation time, the market will resolve based on the first goal scored in any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely cause shifts in the odds. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as public sentiment expressed on social media, could also impact trading behavior. Unexpected weather conditions or even tactical adjustments announced before kickoff could also move the market. Ultimately, any information perceived as affecting either team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to influence the probabilities reflected in this market.