TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie B game between US Catanzaro 1929 and Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie B game between US Catanzaro 1929 and Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each exact score. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is always perfectly accurate. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each score, as their profits depend on correctly predicting the result. This dynamic process creates a constantly updating forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the exact score of the US Catanzaro 1929 versus Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC match – will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market probabilities at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either coach could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over another. Furthermore, in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, would likely cause rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the changing dynamics of the game. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.