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$1,971,286,090

419,492

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4,654

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5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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US Avellino 1912 vs. UC Sampdoria
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of US Avellino 1912 vs UC Sampdoria?

Volume:
$89,864

Avellino

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Avellino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,326
N/A
N/A
$13,581
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Avellino 1912

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (US Avellino 1912 vs. UC Sampdoria)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,506
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,646
N/A
N/A
$4,841
Settled
No
polymarket

UC Sampdoria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sampdoria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,822
N/A
N/A
$3,651
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Serie B soccer match between US Avellino 1912 and UC Sampdoria on October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Avellino winning, Sampdoria winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi is silent on the matter.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading these markets. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in that scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the official match result, resolving 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of data sources (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the game being completed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellation is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between US Avellino 1912 and UC Sampdoria.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Avellino vs Sampdoria professional Serie B soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Avellino win, Sampdoria win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities across both types of platforms.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity and order flow on each platform can create temporary price discrepancies. The volume of trading, the size of open positions, and even the time of day can all play a role in how prices fluctuate. It's also possible that traders on each platform interpret available information about the Avellino vs. Sampdoria match differently, leading to divergent predictions.