TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$102,639,054
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,186,899
483,972
Markets across
36,666
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,879
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Jun 21, 8:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Uruguay will defeat Cape Verde by a margin exceeding 2.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, Uruguay winning by over 1.5 goals carries a probability of 13.0%, while Cape Verde winning by over 1.5 goals stands at 10.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on June 21, 2026. Watch the match outcome on June 21, 2026, when the final whistle will settle the spread.
Resolution is based on the goal differential during the full match (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties) of the Uruguay vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026. Uruguay's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of more than 1.5 and more than 2.5 goals, while Cape Verde's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of more than 1.5 and more than 2.5 goals.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a different crowd and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real money on outcomes they believe will occur. For the Uruguay vs Cape Verde: Spread, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news and sharp money, making them useful as a real-time benchmark alongside conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, the Uruguay vs Cape Verde: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each share worth 1 dollar if the outcome resolves true. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of active traders on Kalshi. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—the price adjusts in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger confidence in the outcome; lower prices suggest skepticism or uncertainty.
The Uruguay vs Cape Verde: Spread market resolves on Jun 22, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final spread outcome of the match between Uruguay and Cape Verde. The exact criteria and data sources used to settle the market are specified in Kalshi's official market rules. Traders should review those rules carefully before trading to understand precisely which spread definition and official source will be used to determine whether the outcome occurred. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes.
Several catalysts could shift the Uruguay vs Cape Verde: Spread market price before Jun 22, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or roster announcements—often triggers sharp moves. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media coverage can sway trader sentiment. Betting market activity and line movement at major sportsbooks may signal sharp money entering the prediction market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions closer to match day can also influence pricing. Social media buzz and expert predictions may drive retail traders, while unexpected geopolitical or logistical developments could create volatility.