TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Petrea Stefan in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 18 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Petrea Stefan. This market will resolve to 'Petrea Stefan' if Petrea Stefan wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Petrea Stefan in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 18 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Petrea Stefan. This market will resolve to 'Petrea Stefan' if Petrea Stefan wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks might not immediately consider. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it's a direct expression of the crowd’s forecast for the Ursu vs. Petrea match. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ursu vs. Petrea match, as reported by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also impact trading volume and price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also be a catalyst. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s forecast.