TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Ciubinidze Miroslav in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 11 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Ciubinidze Miroslav. This market will resolve to 'Ciubinidze Miroslav' if Ciubinidze Miroslav wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Ciubinidze Miroslav in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 11 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Ciubinidze Miroslav. This market will resolve to 'Ciubinidze Miroslav' if Ciubinidze Miroslav wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome for the Ursu vs. Ciubinidze match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate diverse opinions and generate a forecast that is constantly updated as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ursu vs. Ciubinidze match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the athletes' form or strategic approaches could also cause shifts in the odds. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators or expert predictions could also sway the market, as traders incorporate this information into their assessments of the Ursu vs. Ciubinidze match. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also impact the perceived probabilities.