TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in a specific college football game. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold for either team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
The markets resolve based on whether Air Force or UNLV exceeds specified point thresholds in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct scoring level, and the market corresponding to that threshold will resolve to 'Yes' if the respective team scores above it. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and proprietary information, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price will adjust based on the collective beliefs of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a team's total, the prediction market price will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge compared to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that the actual team total will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to become more efficient, incorporating new information and adjusting expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated view of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official team totals from the UNLV vs Air Force game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the team totals will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to starting players on either UNLV or Air Force would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring environment. News regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate a shift in market sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate, especially closer to game time.