TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the UNLV versus Air Force college football game. Currently, the consensus probability that UNLV vs. Air Force: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve according to official NCAA game results and statistics as reported on NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17th, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their view, leading to prices driven by collective belief. This market's odds can be influenced by factors not always fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion. The volume of $923,944 suggests active trading and a dynamic assessment of probabilities.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Polymarket currently favors UNLV (-20.5) with a chance of 99%, while Predict leans toward UNLV vs. Air Force. These discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information available to each platform’s traders, or simply from the inherent randomness of trading dynamics. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity, which can impact price discovery. The differing volume on each platform—$923,944 total—also contributes to these price variations.