TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
UNLV vs. Air Force
predict
polymarket

What is the result of UNLV vs. Air Force?

Volume:
$923,944

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 6:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 69.5

100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 24.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UNLV O/U 26.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -0.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UNLV O/U 23.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the UNLV versus Air Force college football game. Currently, the consensus probability that UNLV vs. Air Force: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve according to official NCAA game results and statistics as reported on NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17th, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same core resolution logic based on official game results and statistics, with consistent handling of ties, postponements, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA game results and statistics (e.g., NCAA.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the final score of the UNLV vs. Air Force game.
  • Overtime is included in the final score.
  • Tie games in the winner market resolve to a 50/50 split.
  • Postponed games remain open until completed.
  • Canceled games resolve to 50/50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled with no makeup date, all markets will resolve to 50/50.
  • Tie Game (Winner Market): If the game ends in a tie, the 'UNLV vs. Air Force' winner market resolves to 50/50.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 24-48 hours of the completion of the game, or upon official confirmation of cancellation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Air Force, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the UNLV vs. Air Force game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $923,944, with $873,809 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the crowd believes the most likely result lies, and how that belief is changing over time. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of prediction market sentiment for this matchup. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sportsbooks.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their view, leading to prices driven by collective belief. This market's odds can be influenced by factors not always fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion. The volume of $923,944 suggests active trading and a dynamic assessment of probabilities.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Polymarket currently favors UNLV (-20.5) with a chance of 99%, while Predict leans toward UNLV vs. Air Force. These discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information available to each platform’s traders, or simply from the inherent randomness of trading dynamics. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity, which can impact price discovery. The differing volume on each platform—$923,944 total—also contributes to these price variations.