TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:43 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Peruvian soccer teams, Universitario and Sport Boys, compete in a league match where a win for either team decides the outcome based on full-time score, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Universitario vs Sport Boys professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. A win for Universitario resolves the 'Universitario' market to Yes; a win for Sport Boys resolves the 'Sport Boys' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and market participants. It’s common to see convergence as new information becomes available and more traders participate in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Peruvian Liga 1 match between Universitario and Sport Boys, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also cause movement. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on the latest news surrounding Universitario and Sport Boys is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.