TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Universidad Catolica and Audax in the Chile Liga de Primera. The result will be determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the teams finish with equal scores after this period, the result is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Universidad Catolica vs Audax professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Universidad Catolica win, Audax win, or Tie. If the match ends with either team winning within the specified time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after the same period, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see differences, particularly as the event approaches and more participants weigh in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book based system where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chilean Primera Division match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The goal is to create a transparent and efficient way to forecast the outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chilean Primera Division match between Universidad Catolica and Audax, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any discrepancies.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, performance in recent matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage can all play a role. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could also lead to substantial movements in the market as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.