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United States vs. Mexico - First Team to Score
predict

What is the result of United States vs Mexico?

Volume:
$1,011

USA

 - Predict

USA - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:07 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

USA

View
99%
52%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$94
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MEX

View
51%
Yes 51¢No 49¢
—
$0
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
6%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
—
$0
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the US vs Mexico first goal market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the probabilities have shifted over time, allowing you to assess market sentiment. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,011, with $749 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides insight into how actively traders are engaging with this particular question about which team will score first in the upcoming match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, aiming to balance their books and ensure profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals putting their money where their mouth is, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, prediction markets continuously update in response to every trade, offering a dynamic comparison to traditional odds.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team to score first, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, providing a real-time gauge of sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the United States versus Mexico match. Official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to contract holders.

Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the US or Mexico national teams would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team formations could also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, and even public sentiment expressed on social media, can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or recent team performance could also move this market before Oct 4, 2026.