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United States vs. Mexico - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of United States vs Mexico?

Volume:
$180

United States

 - Polymarket

United States - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:02 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

United States

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the US vs Mexico first goal market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome shifts over time as traders buy and sell shares. Currently, the total volume for this market is $180, with $180 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the first goal will come from in this highly anticipated match. The dashboard allows you to monitor activity and potentially identify opportunities based on market movements.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. You may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly if there's significant public information or sentiment not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where expert analysis suggests a different outcome than the general public expects.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for which team will score first. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing environment.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team – the United States or Mexico – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the first scoring team will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the US or Mexico national teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also influence trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.