TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:07 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Mexico match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Mexico match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information and market participation. It is common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as more information becomes available and the event approaches. This market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the United States versus Mexico match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer organization. Any potential overtime or penalty shootouts will be included in determining the exact score. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s resolution details on Predict following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the United States or Mexico would likely cause price shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also lead to movement. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different exact scores will likely be reflected in the prices within this market.