TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:02 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Mexico match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States vs. Mexico match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who believe they have an informational edge. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets offer a different kind of exposure than sportsbooks, focusing on the probabilistic outcome rather than a fixed payout.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the United States versus Mexico match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the match. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved using widely accepted sources of sports data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage can play a role, especially if there’s a shift in perceived momentum. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or referee assignments, could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.