TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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United States vs. Mexico
predict
polymarket

What is the result of United States vs. Mexico?

Volume:
$448,407

United States

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

United States

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$145,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

USA

View
99%
64%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$14,860
$73,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MEX

View
1%
39%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$188
$42,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
26%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$249
$15,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (United States vs. Mexico)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single soccer (football) match between the United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026. Markets exist for a US win, a Mexico win, and a draw. Resolution hinges on the official match result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, relying on official match statistics with tiered fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (FIFA) or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, 'US win' and 'Mexico win' resolve to 'No', 'Draw' resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Resolution sources are prioritized: Official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, the fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus) are used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, contingent on the availability of official statistics or fallback data.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between United States and Mexico.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between United States and Mexico.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the US-Mexico soccer match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, displaying the combined probability and volume traded across these platforms. Currently, the total volume for this market is $448,407, with $393,257 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' currently stands on the result of the game, and how that perception evolves over time as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by individuals betting directly against each other, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities reflecting the true likelihood of an event. While sportsbooks may quickly adjust to news, prediction markets can aggregate diverse opinions and potentially identify mispricings faster. This market offers a unique perspective compared to conventional betting venues.