TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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United States vs. Canada - Second Half Result
predict
polymarket

What is the result of United States vs Canada?

Volume:
$3,102

Draw

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 10:07 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$129
$386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$2,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

United States

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CAN

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,125
$419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Canada

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the result of the second half of a FIFA International Friendly match between the United States and Canada. The outcome will be determined by which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, or if the teams are tied.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical logic for determining the second-half winner, draw condition, and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Fallback sources: Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'United States' if the United States score more goals than Canada in the second half (including stoppage time).
  • The market resolves to 'Draw' if the United States and Canada score the same number of goals in the second half (including stoppage time).
  • The market resolves to 'Canada' if Canada score more goals than the United States in the second half (including stoppage time).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Draw'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the conclusion of the second half, contingent on the availability of official statistics or fallback data sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Canada, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Canada in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Canada score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Canada, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Canada in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Canada score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the second half of the United States versus Canada game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,102, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. The prevailing prediction across these platforms is a draw, with Polymarket showing a probability of 98% for that outcome. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing different possibilities for the US vs. Canada second half and compare opinions across venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, both sources aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors a draw at 98%, while Predict leans toward a draw as well, though with differing volume. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from the independent decisions of participants. Furthermore, the liquidity and overall volume on each platform can influence price discovery, leading to temporary discrepancies in the odds for the US vs. Canada second half.