TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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United States vs. Canada
predict
polymarket

What is the result of United States vs. Canada?

Volume:
$473,490

United States

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 12:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

United States

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$242,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

USA

View
99%
44%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$12,287
$119,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$172
$22,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (United States vs. Canada)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CAN

View
1%
21%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$155
$42,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Canada

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the United States will win its FIFA International Friendly match against Canada on October 6, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a United States victory is 100.0%, aggregating views from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official FIFA statistics, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and other credible reporting serving as fallbacks. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 6, 2026, to see if this forecast holds true as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same resolution source (official match statistics with fallbacks) and define the same win/loss/draw conditions, including handling of cancellations and delays.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA statistics (with Flashscore/Sofascore/credible reporting as fallbacks)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team is determined by having more goals at the end of regulation.
  • A draw occurs if both teams have the same number of goals at the end of regulation.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the 'United States win' and 'Canada win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Official Stats: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets will remain open until the game is completed.
Timing: Within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or when official statistics become available, whichever is sooner. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between United States and Canada.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between United States and Canada.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the US-Canada sports rivalry. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $473,490, with $454,548 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive overview of predictions surrounding this historic competition. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a unified view of the market, though individual platform probabilities may vary. It’s a great way to gauge public sentiment and see how predictions evolve as the event approaches. The short_topic is a frequent source of competitive energy.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts. This market, for example, may show a different probability distribution than a typical sportsbook. However, both offer valuable insights. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the nature of the participants involved in each venue. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.