TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
polymarket

Who will have the fastest lap?

Volume:
$4,797

Charles Leclerc

 - Polymarket

Charles Leclerc - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:26 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

George Russell

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Albon

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sergio Perez

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Esteban Ocon

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Franco Colapinto

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nico Hulkenberg

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Valtteri Bottas

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liam Lawson

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lance Stroll

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yuki Tsunoda

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Driver A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Polymarket

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Formula 1 fastest lap market displays the current odds for each driver to achieve the fastest lap during the United States Grand Prix. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to see how the probabilities have shifted over time. The 24-hour trading volume is prominently displayed, currently at $4,785, and the total volume traded to date is $4,797. This allows traders to quickly assess market activity and interest in different drivers. The dashboard is a central hub for monitoring the dynamics of this market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of each driver securing the fastest lap. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the collective intelligence of the prediction market participants. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or developments that might not be fully priced into traditional sportsbook lines.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each driver's probability of achieving the fastest lap. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each driver. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and sentiment, providing a real-time view of expectations for the United States Grand Prix.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official race results published by Formula 1 will be used to determine which driver recorded the fastest lap during the United States Grand Prix. The driver with the quickest officially recorded lap time will be declared the winner of this market. Any disputes will be resolved by referencing the official Formula 1 results and adhering to standard racing regulations.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Weather conditions during qualifying and the race itself are crucial, as rain or changing track temperatures can dramatically alter lap times and favor different drivers. Any mechanical issues or crashes involving leading contenders would also cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Driver performance during practice sessions and qualifying will provide valuable insights, and any unexpected announcements regarding car upgrades or strategy changes could also move the market. Finally, news regarding driver health or team decisions could influence trading activity.