TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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United Rugby Championship: Lions vs Ospreys
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What is the result of Lions vs Ospreys?

Volume:
$1,110

Lions

 - Polymarket

Lions - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lions

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ospreys

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Lions and Ospreys, scheduled for October 3 2026.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Lions and Ospreys, scheduled for October 3 2026.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Lions vs Ospreys match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell shares. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,110, with $1,101 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and allows you to monitor activity leading up to the event's resolution. It's a central place to understand how the crowd is predicting the result of this rugby contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own assessments. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move in tandem with this market as they react to public betting patterns. It's useful to compare both to gain a broader understanding of expectations for the Lions vs Ospreys match.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lions vs Ospreys match as determined by the United Rugby Championship. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching strategy for either the Lions or the Ospreys could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major announcements related to the United Rugby Championship schedule or regulations might shift perceptions. General rugby news and analysis, as well as public opinion expressed through polls or expert predictions, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026.