TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

63%

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United Rugby Championship: Dragons vs Scarlets
polymarket

What is the result of Dragons vs Scarlets?

Volume:
$3

Scarlets

 - Polymarket

Scarlets - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Scarlets

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dragons

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Dragons and Scarlets, scheduled for October 3 2026.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Dragons and Scarlets, scheduled for October 3 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one result. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or shifts in public opinion regarding the United Rugby Championship match.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the United Rugby Championship match.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the United Rugby Championship match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team, as officially declared by the league organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Several factors could significantly influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either the Dragons or the Scarlets would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the likely winner of the United Rugby Championship match. Major announcements about team lineups closer to the game will likely be key catalysts.