TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Dragons and Ospreys, scheduled for October 9 2026.
This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Dragons and Ospreys, scheduled for October 9 2026.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, reflecting the collective forecast. The current price indicates what the market believes is the probability of the outcome happening, and is driven solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the United Rugby Championship match between the Dragons and the Ospreys. The final score and winning team will be used to determine the winning share in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results to understand when the market will be settled and payouts distributed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Unexpected announcements related to the teams’ performance or overall tournament standings could also trigger price movements. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.