TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between United Chiba and Avispa, focusing on whether the combined score exceeds specific thresholds. The match is part of the Japan J1 League and takes place on November 1, 2026. Outcomes depend on the final goal count after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the United Chiba versus Avispa Japan J1 League match scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from the count. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the Japan J1 League, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If sportsbooks heavily favor a particular outcome, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's uncertainty or a belief in an upset. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The closer the event gets, the more the price will likely converge towards the actual outcome, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the United Chiba vs Avispa match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either United Chiba or Avispa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal tally. Unexpected tactical decisions by the managers, or even early goals scored during the match, could lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, broader trends in team performance or recent match results could also contribute to shifts in market sentiment on Kalshi.