TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Union Gilloise and Be'er Sheva. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity. It provides insight into anticipated scoring patterns without influencing the actual gameplay.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Union Gilloise vs Be'er Sheva Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals must exceed its specific threshold within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootout periods. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, noting that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes, particularly when there's significant public interest and trading volume.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of each possible outcome as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Union Gilloise versus Be'er Sheva match will determine the winning contract. Official sources will be used to verify the final score, and the market will settle based on that confirmed result. Any potential extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play count towards the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Gilloise or Be'er Sheva would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts or unexpected lineup announcements could contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.