TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Union Gilloise and Be'er Sheva. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Union Gilloise, Be'er Sheva, or a tie occurs.
If Union Gilloise wins the Union Gilloise vs Be`er Sheva professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Beer Sheva wins the Union Gilloise vs Beer Sheva professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Union Gilloise vs Be`er Sheva professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the match. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be under- or overestimating probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by new information, breaking news, and shifts in overall market sentiment regarding the Union Gilloise vs Be'er Sheva match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Gilloise vs Be'er Sheva match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Gilloise or Be'er Sheva would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively.