TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Union Brescia and Cittadella in the Coppa Italia Lega Pro. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve accordingly.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Union Brescia vs Cittadella professional Coppa Italia Lega Pro soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team (Union Brescia, Cittadella, or Tie) is the winning or tied result at the end of regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and can fluctuate independently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market, as indicated by trader activity, is for Cittadella to win, though the probability is subject to change based on trading activity and any new information that becomes available before the match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Brescia vs Cittadella match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Union Brescia win, a Cittadella win, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled game. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Brescia or Cittadella would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also shift the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the odds to adjust rapidly.