TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional women's soccer match between Union Berlin and Nürnberg will take place, with three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a draw. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Union Berlin vs Nürnberg professional German Women's Bundesliga soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Union Berlin resolves the 'Union Berlin' market to Yes; a win for Nürnberg resolves the 'Nürnberg' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered in determining the outcome.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their money where their mouths are. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not easily quantifiable by analysts, such as team morale or unexpected player performance. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of conventional forecasts. Examining these differences can provide a more comprehensive view of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Berlin vs Nürnberg match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the market contract purchased, reflecting whether a particular team wins, loses, or the match ends in a draw. Traders will then be paid out or required to pay based on whether their prediction aligned with the final result.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either Union Berlin or Nürnberg would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift sentiment. News regarding weather conditions on match day, or even tactical decisions announced by the managers, could influence trader behavior. Any significant information impacting the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price.