TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Union Berlin and FC Köln. The event will resolve based on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include a win for either team or a tie.
The market resolves based on the full-time result of the Union Berlin vs FC Köln professional Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Union Berlin, a win for FC Köln, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it's interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the teams’ form and potential.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely result of the Union Berlin vs Köln match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Berlin vs Köln match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and any relevant match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift expectations. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly cause significant price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media discussions, can also play a role, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in this market.