TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on point differentials in the Union Berlin vs Dortmund match. Different margins of victory are offered, allowing bettors to predict the extent to which either team might dominate the game.
The market resolves to Yes if Union Berlin wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, in the Union Berlin vs Dortmund professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from goal counts. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Union Berlin vs Dortmund match, as determined by official match statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the outcome matches the contract purchased, and to 0 otherwise. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Berlin or Dortmund would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also shift the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.