TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:37 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between Union Berlin (UNI) and Borussia Dortmund (DOR), scheduled for 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC. - UNI: If Union Berlin wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - DOR: If Borussia Dortmund wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both UNI and DOR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between Union Berlin (UNI) and Borussia Dortmund (DOR), scheduled for 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC. - UNI: If Union Berlin wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - DOR: If Borussia Dortmund wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both UNI and DOR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines as the event approaches. It's common to see differences in implied probability between the two.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Union Berlin vs Dortmund match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even public comments from influential figures, could also contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the implied probabilities.